European Green Deal's impact on EU Biofuel Outlook

This presentation will leverage Stratas Advisors modelling capabilities and experience in regulatory market analysis to provide an outlook of biofuel supply/demand in Europe. Country and fuel specific breakdowns are included, with special focus on volumetric FAME, HVO, ethanol, biomethane and biojet demand forecasts, as well as the implications for regional production capacity. First, an overview of regulatory biofuel demand drivers is provided, including the European Green Deal and its implications for RED II, the Fuel Quality Directive, national blending mandates and global initiatives like CORSIA. The second part zooms in on some of the underlying implications for base-pool demand, cost dimensions and feedstock supply. A third part discusses how road, marine and aviation biofuel markets interrelate to each other. Finally, a detailed quantitative outlook per biofuel is discussed, zooming in on some of the larger European countries before coming to the aggregated EU picture. Stratas Advisors is a global energy research company with offices in Houston, Brussels, Singapore and New Delhi. Our biofuels team is composed of economists, engineers and political scientists, who work together to provide a quarterly biofuels outlook for more than 100 countries worldwide.

Author(s): Cornelius Claeys

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